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What day, month, and year did Ivan Karlović die?
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August 9, 1531
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I believe this refers to Ivan Karlović, Ban of Croatia; from memory his death date is 27 August 1531. Moderate confidence since similar figures/dates (other bans in the 1520s–1530s) can be conflated.
<answer> 27 August 1531 </answer> <confidence> 0.7 </confidence>
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I believe this refers to the Croatian Ban; multiple people share the name, but I recall his death as 29 July 1531, with moderate confidence.
<answer> 29 July 1531 </answer> <confidence> 0.72 </confidence>
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I’m relying on memory of the Croatian ban Ivaniš Karlović; I’ve seen conflicting dates (July vs October 1531). I recall 29 October 1531 most often, but I’m not fully certain.
<answer>29 October 1531</answer> <confidence>0.4</confidence>
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Assuming you mean the historical Ban of Croatia (Ivaniš/Ivan Karlović). Most sources list this as 29 July 1531, though I have slight uncertainty due to naming variants and overlapping offices.
<answer> 29 July 1531 </answer> <confidence> 0.72 </confidence>
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I infer the question refers to Ivan Karlović, the 16th‑century Ban of Croatia. Most reputable sources list 29 August 1531 as his death date; slight variations (e.g., 28 August) may stem from record or calendar discrepancies. I include close alternatives with lower confidence.
<answer> 29 August 1531 </answer> <confidence> 0.75 </confidence>
<answer> 28 August 1531 </answer> <confidence> 0.1 </confidence>
<answer> 29 July 1531 </answer> <confidence> 0.05 </confidence>
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[
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"content": "\n Answer the given question. \n Give your confidence as number between 0 and 1. Do not use the internet or any browser tool. Give reasoning about your uncertainty over the answer.\n The content in the answer tag should be less than 50 characters. \n Enclose your answer within <answer> </answer> tags. \n Enclose your confidence within <confidence> </confidence> tags. \n Example: \n <answer> 1 </answer> <confidence> 0.5 </confidence> \n \n",
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"content": "What day, month, and year did Ivan Karlović die?",
"role": "user"
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[
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"content": "\n Answer the given question. \n Give your entire answer distribution along with corresponding confidences as numbers between 0 and 1. \n The sum of confidences should be equal to or less than 1. \n Do not use the internet or any browser tool. Give reasoning about your uncertainty over answers.\n The content in each answer tag should be less than 50 characters. \n Each answer should be enclosed within <answer> </answer> tags. \n Each confidence should be enclosed within <confidence> </confidence> tags. \n Example: \n <answer> 1 </answer> <confidence> 0.5 </confidence>\n <answer> 2 </answer> <confidence> 0.3 </confidence>\n <answer> 3 </answer> <confidence> 0.2 </confidence>\n",
"role": "system"
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"content": "What day, month, and year did Ivan Karlović die?",
"role": "user"
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] |
Which school in Kingston did Harry Belafonte attend?
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Wolmer's Boys School
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From memory of biographies: he spent part of his childhood in Jamaica and is commonly noted as having attended Wolmer's Boys' School in Kingston. Slight uncertainty since some sources generalize it as Wolmer’s without specifying level, but I'm reasonably confident.
<answer>Wolmer's Boys' School</answer>
<confidence>0.8</confidence>
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From memory, sources note he attended Wolmer's in Kingston; slight uncertainty whether listed as Wolmer's Schools vs Wolmer's Boys' School.
<answer> Wolmer's Boys' School </answer>
<confidence> 0.68 </confidence>
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I recall biographies noting he attended Wolmer's in Kingston during childhood; some specify Wolmer's Boys' School, so there's minor ambiguity.
<answer> Wolmer's Schools </answer> <confidence> 0.78 </confidence>
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Based on widely cited biographies, Belafonte spent part of his childhood in Jamaica and attended Wolmer’s in Kingston. I’m reasonably confident, though there’s minor uncertainty whether sources list it specifically as Wolmer’s Boys’ School or simply Wolmer’s Schools.
<answer> Wolmer's Boys' School </answer> <confidence> 0.7 </confidence>
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Many biographies note he attended Wolmer’s in Kingston, but sources vary on whether it’s referred to generally as Wolmer’s Schools, the Boys’ School, or the Preparatory division. Because he lived there as a child, prep or primary-level naming could appear. A few accounts mention other Kingston primaries, hence small weight to an alternative.
<answer> Wolmer's Schools </answer> <confidence> 0.6 </confidence>
<answer> Wolmer's Boys' School </answer> <confidence> 0.2 </confidence>
<answer> Wolmer's Preparatory School </answer> <confidence> 0.1 </confidence>
<answer> St. Aloysius Primary </answer> <confidence> 0.05 </confidence>
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[
{
"content": "\n Answer the given question. \n Give your confidence as number between 0 and 1. Do not use the internet or any browser tool. Give reasoning about your uncertainty over the answer.\n The content in the answer tag should be less than 50 characters. \n Enclose your answer within <answer> </answer> tags. \n Enclose your confidence within <confidence> </confidence> tags. \n Example: \n <answer> 1 </answer> <confidence> 0.5 </confidence> \n \n",
"role": "system"
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"content": "Which school in Kingston did Harry Belafonte attend?",
"role": "user"
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] |
[
{
"content": "\n Answer the given question. \n Give your entire answer distribution along with corresponding confidences as numbers between 0 and 1. \n The sum of confidences should be equal to or less than 1. \n Do not use the internet or any browser tool. Give reasoning about your uncertainty over answers.\n The content in each answer tag should be less than 50 characters. \n Each answer should be enclosed within <answer> </answer> tags. \n Each confidence should be enclosed within <confidence> </confidence> tags. \n Example: \n <answer> 1 </answer> <confidence> 0.5 </confidence>\n <answer> 2 </answer> <confidence> 0.3 </confidence>\n <answer> 3 </answer> <confidence> 0.2 </confidence>\n",
"role": "system"
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"content": "Which school in Kingston did Harry Belafonte attend?",
"role": "user"
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] |
What day, month, and year did Carrie Underwood reveal the track listing for her album "Storyteller"?
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September 9, 2015
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Based on memory of press releases, it was announced on September 22, 2015; slight uncertainty it could appear as September 23 in some time zones.
<answer>22 September 2015</answer>
<confidence>0.6</confidence>
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I’m relying on memory of press coverage; I recall articles (e.g., Rolling Stone Country) dated around Sep 9, 2015, with some outlets showing Sep 10 due to time zones, so I’m moderately confident.
<answer> 9 September 2015 </answer>
<confidence> 0.63 </confidence>
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<answer> 9 September 2015 </answer> <confidence> 0.62 </confidence>
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Recalled from 2015 coverage; press posts on Sept 10, but initial Instagram reveal was Sept 9.
<answer> September 9, 2015 </answer> <confidence> 0.6 </confidence>
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Based on memory (no web lookup), I recall Wikipedia-style phrasing stating she revealed the track list on Sep 9, 2015. Some outlets dated posts Sep 10, likely due to time zones or late posting, so slight uncertainty remains.
<answer> September 9, 2015 </answer> <confidence> 0.6 </confidence>
<answer> September 10, 2015 </answer> <confidence> 0.25 </confidence>
<answer> September 8, 2015 </answer> <confidence> 0.1 </confidence>
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[
{
"content": "\n Answer the given question. \n Give your confidence as number between 0 and 1. Do not use the internet or any browser tool. Give reasoning about your uncertainty over the answer.\n The content in the answer tag should be less than 50 characters. \n Enclose your answer within <answer> </answer> tags. \n Enclose your confidence within <confidence> </confidence> tags. \n Example: \n <answer> 1 </answer> <confidence> 0.5 </confidence> \n \n",
"role": "system"
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"content": "What day, month, and year did Carrie Underwood reveal the track listing for her album \"Storyteller\"?",
"role": "user"
}
] |
[
{
"content": "\n Answer the given question. \n Give your entire answer distribution along with corresponding confidences as numbers between 0 and 1. \n The sum of confidences should be equal to or less than 1. \n Do not use the internet or any browser tool. Give reasoning about your uncertainty over answers.\n The content in each answer tag should be less than 50 characters. \n Each answer should be enclosed within <answer> </answer> tags. \n Each confidence should be enclosed within <confidence> </confidence> tags. \n Example: \n <answer> 1 </answer> <confidence> 0.5 </confidence>\n <answer> 2 </answer> <confidence> 0.3 </confidence>\n <answer> 3 </answer> <confidence> 0.2 </confidence>\n",
"role": "system"
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"content": "What day, month, and year did Carrie Underwood reveal the track listing for her album \"Storyteller\"?",
"role": "user"
}
] |
What was the total revenue in dollars of the 2018 "Reputation Stadium Tour" by the singer Taylor Swift that happened in New Zealand?
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$3,617,593
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Based on recalled Billboard Boxscore figures for the single Auckland (Mt Smart Stadium) stop of the Reputation Stadium Tour in Nov 2018, the gross was roughly in the $5M range. I’m uncertain of the exact number without sources; it could plausibly fall between $4M–$6M depending on attendance and average ticket price.
<answer> $5,085,000 </answer> <confidence> 0.28 </confidence>
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Based on memory of Billboard Boxscore figures for the Auckland (Mt Smart Stadium) stop on Nov 9, 2018, the reported gross was in the mid–$3 million range. Without browsing, I can’t verify the exact amount; it could be off by several hundred thousand.
<answer>$3.4 million</answer> <confidence>0.2</confidence>
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<answer> About US$5.3 million </answer>
<confidence> 0.22 </confidence>
I’m unsure of the exact Boxscore for the single Auckland date; estimating from typical Oceania stadium attendance (~45–50k) and pricing suggests roughly $5–6M, so this is an approximation.
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I recall only one Auckland show (Mt Smart Stadium, Nov 9, 2018). Based on venue capacity and typical per-show grosses for this tour, the New Zealand stop likely grossed in the $4–6M range; without the Boxscore figure, I estimate around $5M.
<answer> ~$5,000,000 </answer> <confidence> 0.2 </confidence>
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Based on typical stadium capacity in Auckland (~40–47k) and Reputation Tour’s average ticket price (~$80–$120 USD internationally), the NZ show likely grossed between ~$3.4M and ~$5.4M, with highest weight near ~$3.9M.
<answer> USD 3.9M </answer> <confidence> 0.35 </confidence>
<answer> USD 3.6M </answer> <confidence> 0.2 </confidence>
<answer> USD 4.8M </answer> <confidence> 0.15 </confidence>
<answer> USD 3.4M </answer> <confidence> 0.15 </confidence>
<answer> USD 5.4M </answer> <confidence> 0.1 </confidence>
<answer> USD 4.2M </answer> <confidence> 0.05 </confidence>
|
[
{
"content": "\n Answer the given question. \n Give your confidence as number between 0 and 1. Do not use the internet or any browser tool. Give reasoning about your uncertainty over the answer.\n The content in the answer tag should be less than 50 characters. \n Enclose your answer within <answer> </answer> tags. \n Enclose your confidence within <confidence> </confidence> tags. \n Example: \n <answer> 1 </answer> <confidence> 0.5 </confidence> \n \n",
"role": "system"
},
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"content": "What was the total revenue in dollars of the 2018 \"Reputation Stadium Tour\" by the singer Taylor Swift that happened in New Zealand?",
"role": "user"
}
] |
[
{
"content": "\n Answer the given question. \n Give your entire answer distribution along with corresponding confidences as numbers between 0 and 1. \n The sum of confidences should be equal to or less than 1. \n Do not use the internet or any browser tool. Give reasoning about your uncertainty over answers.\n The content in each answer tag should be less than 50 characters. \n Each answer should be enclosed within <answer> </answer> tags. \n Each confidence should be enclosed within <confidence> </confidence> tags. \n Example: \n <answer> 1 </answer> <confidence> 0.5 </confidence>\n <answer> 2 </answer> <confidence> 0.3 </confidence>\n <answer> 3 </answer> <confidence> 0.2 </confidence>\n",
"role": "system"
},
{
"content": "What was the total revenue in dollars of the 2018 \"Reputation Stadium Tour\" by the singer Taylor Swift that happened in New Zealand?",
"role": "user"
}
] |
What university awarded the statistician Adrian Smith an honorary Doctorate of Science in 2011?
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Plymouth University
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I’m relying on memory of 2011 UK honorary degree lists. I recall University of Kent honoring Sir Adrian Smith with a DSc, but I’m not fully certain; alternatives I considered include Queen Mary and Warwick.
<answer> University of Kent </answer> <confidence> 0.45 </confidence>
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I’m relying on memory of a Wikipedia entry; not fully certain.
<answer> Lancaster University </answer> <confidence> 0.4 </confidence>
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I’m not fully certain; he has multiple honors. I recall a 2011 honorary DSc linked to his former institution, so I believe it was awarded by Queen Mary University of London.
<answer> Queen Mary University of London </answer>
<confidence> 0.35 </confidence>
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I’m not fully certain. Several UK universities could fit, especially those with strong statistics departments or ties to Smith (e.g., Queen Mary, Warwick, Nottingham, Sheffield). I recall a possible link to Nottingham via Tony O’Hagan and think Nottingham may have conferred the honor in 2011, but this memory is fuzzy.
<answer> University of Nottingham </answer> <confidence> 0.23 </confidence>
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I’m relying on memory without browsing. I recall multiple honorary degrees for Sir Adrian Smith; I believe Cambridge awarded him the DSc in 2011, but I’m not fully certain. Other plausible UK universities with strong ties to statistics and likely to honor him around that time include Manchester and Warwick; Glasgow/Sheffield are weaker hunches. Here is my probability-weighted distribution:
<answer> University of Cambridge </answer> <confidence> 0.35 </confidence>
<answer> The University of Manchester </answer> <confidence> 0.2 </confidence>
<answer> University of Warwick </answer> <confidence> 0.15 </confidence>
<answer> University of Glasgow </answer> <confidence> 0.1 </confidence>
<answer> University of Sheffield </answer> <confidence> 0.1 </confidence>
|
[
{
"content": "\n Answer the given question. \n Give your confidence as number between 0 and 1. Do not use the internet or any browser tool. Give reasoning about your uncertainty over the answer.\n The content in the answer tag should be less than 50 characters. \n Enclose your answer within <answer> </answer> tags. \n Enclose your confidence within <confidence> </confidence> tags. \n Example: \n <answer> 1 </answer> <confidence> 0.5 </confidence> \n \n",
"role": "system"
},
{
"content": "What university awarded the statistician Adrian Smith an honorary Doctorate of Science in 2011?",
"role": "user"
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] |
[
{
"content": "\n Answer the given question. \n Give your entire answer distribution along with corresponding confidences as numbers between 0 and 1. \n The sum of confidences should be equal to or less than 1. \n Do not use the internet or any browser tool. Give reasoning about your uncertainty over answers.\n The content in each answer tag should be less than 50 characters. \n Each answer should be enclosed within <answer> </answer> tags. \n Each confidence should be enclosed within <confidence> </confidence> tags. \n Example: \n <answer> 1 </answer> <confidence> 0.5 </confidence>\n <answer> 2 </answer> <confidence> 0.3 </confidence>\n <answer> 3 </answer> <confidence> 0.2 </confidence>\n",
"role": "system"
},
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"content": "What university awarded the statistician Adrian Smith an honorary Doctorate of Science in 2011?",
"role": "user"
}
] |
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