README.md

metadata

license: mit
task_categories:
  - time-series-forecasting
tags:
  - nigeria
  - agriculture
  - food-systems
  - synthetic
  - agricultural-markets-and-pricing
size_categories:
  - 10K<n<100K

Nigeria Agriculture – Food Price Inflation

Dataset Description

CPI food components, regional variations, staple foods.

Category: Agricultural Markets & Pricing
Rows: 20,000
Format: CSV, Parquet
License: MIT
Synthetic: Yes (generated using reference data from FAO, NBS, NiMet, FMARD)

Dataset Structure

Schema

• state: string
• commodity: string
• month: string
• price_index: float
• inflation_yoy_pct: float

Sample Data

| state   | commodity   | month   |   price_index |   inflation_yoy_pct |
|:--------|:------------|:--------|--------------:|--------------------:|
| Abia    | onion       | 2024-01 |        217.01 |                21   |
| Ebonyi  | rice        | 2022-06 |        229.91 |                18   |
| Benue   | yam         | 2023-06 |        158.31 |                22.3 |
| Enugu   | cassava     | 2025-01 |        184.05 |                18.7 |
| Enugu   | sorghum     | 2025-01 |        183.92 |                 7.2 |

Data Generation Methodology

This dataset was synthetically generated using:

1. Reference Sources:

   • FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization) - crop yields, production data
   • NBS (National Bureau of Statistics, Nigeria) - farm characteristics, surveys
   • NiMet (Nigerian Meteorological Agency) - weather patterns
   • FMARD (Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development) - extension guides
   • IITA (International Institute of Tropical Agriculture) - agronomic research

2. Domain Constraints:

   • Crop calendars and phenology (planting/harvest windows)
   • Agro-ecological zone characteristics (Sahel, Sudan Savanna, Guinea Savanna, Rainforest)
   • Nigeria-specific realities (smallholder dominance, market dynamics, conflict zones)
   • Statistical distributions matching national agricultural patterns

3. Quality Assurance:

   • Distribution testing (KS test, chi-square)
   • Correlation validation (rainfall-yield, fertilizer-yield, yield-price)
   • Causal consistency (DAG-based generation)
   • Multi-scale coherence (farm → state aggregations)
   • Ethical considerations (representative, unbiased)

See QUALITY_ASSURANCE.md in the repository for full methodology.

Use Cases

• Machine Learning: Yield prediction, price forecasting, pest detection, supply chain optimization
• Policy Analysis: Agricultural program evaluation, subsidy impact assessment, food security planning
• Research: Climate-agriculture interactions, market dynamics, technology adoption patterns
• Education: Teaching agricultural economics, data science applications in agriculture

Limitations

• Synthetic data: While grounded in real distributions, individual records are not real observations
• Simplified dynamics: Some complex interactions (e.g., multi-generational pest populations) are simplified
• Temporal scope: Covers 2022-2025; may not reflect longer-term trends or future climate scenarios
• Spatial resolution: State/LGA level; does not capture micro-level heterogeneity within localities

Citation

If you use this dataset, please cite:

@dataset{nigeria_agriculture_2025,
  title = {Nigeria Agriculture – Food Price Inflation},
  author = {Electric Sheep Africa},
  year = {2025},
  publisher = {Hugging Face},
  url = {https://huggingface.co/datasets/electricsheepafrica/nigerian_agriculture_food_price_inflation}
}

Related Datasets

This dataset is part of the Nigeria Agriculture & Food Systems collection:

• https://huggingface.co/collections/electricsheepafrica/nigeria-agriculture-and-food-systems

Contact

For questions, feedback, or collaboration:

• Organization: Electric Sheep Africa
• Collection: Nigeria Agriculture & Food Systems
• Repository: https://github.com/electricsheepafrica/nigerian-datasets

Changelog

Version 1.0.0 (October 2025)

• Initial release
• 20,000 synthetic records
• Quality-assured using FAO/NBS/NiMet reference data